The inauguration of Donald Trump on 20 January 2024 is bringing fresh momentum to global diplomatic dynamics, particularly in relation to China and its ties with various nations. As Joe Biden’s era of strengthening alliances to counter China evolves, we may see a recalibration under Trump’s more unilateral approach.
Rapprochement with Asian Neighbours
China appears to be moving towards improved relations with key US allies, such as Japan and India. This shift coincides with the potential easing of tensions following a history of discord. According to Wu Xinbo, the dean of the Institute of International Studies at Fudan University, this is an opportune moment for China.
- Japan: A recent visit by Japanese officials to Beijing marks a significant thaw in relations.
- India: Disputes over borders still linger, yet last October saw a notable improvement in dialogue.
- Australia: New leadership signals a willingness to engage more with Beijing.
Trump’s Foreign Policy Direction
During his first term, Trump stirred global relations with agreements reflecting an “America First” policy. The return of Trump sets a tone reminiscent of his previous administration when he openly questioned alliances formed after World War Two.
His potential to shift the US’s global stance once again raises concerns among traditional allies, but also opens avenues for other nations to reassess their diplomatic strategies.
Ukraine and Immigration Policies
Trump’s declared intention to resolve ongoing conflicts, including the Russia-Ukraine war, illustrates a strong desire to remake the US’s foreign policy. Moreover, he has promised rigorous immigration controls and measures aimed at categorising drug cartels as foreign terrorist organisations on his first day.
Pragmatic European Relations
In Europe, leaders are wary but aware that a changing landscape necessitates engagement with both the US and China. Prime Minister Keir Starmer is looking to rebuild relations with Beijing, contrasting sharply with the stricter stance of previous leadership.
The upcoming months will unfold strategies on how countries navigate Trump’s administration whilst balancing their own interests in an increasingly multipolar world.