Tensions between Pakistan and India have surged dramatically after both countries accused each other of drone attacks on the morning of 8 May 2024. Reports emerging from Lahore indicate that Pakistan’s Defence Minister, Khawaja Muhammad Asif, suggested that further retaliation is “increasingly certain” amidst fears of an impending conflict.
Escalating Conflicts
According to officials, Pakistan’s air defence system successfully shot down around 25 Indian drones, while India claimed to have neutralised several Pakistani drone and missile assaults aimed at military targets. This exchange represents one of the most serious confrontations between the two nuclear-armed neighbours since 2019.
Background of the Conflict
- The current tensions began after gunmen killed 26 individuals in India-controlled Kashmir last month, triggering accusations from India that Pakistan supported the assailants.
- Indian air strikes on 7 May resulted in the deaths of at least 31 civilians in Pakistan.
- Both nations have historically grappled with conflicts over Kashmir, which is split between them yet claimed entirely by both countries.
Immediate Aftermath of Attacks
The Pakistani military reported injuries to four soldiers and damage to a military target following an Indian drone attack in Lahore. In response, Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif has vowed to avenge the deaths resulting from the missile strikes.
Civilian Impact
Evacuations in areas along the heavily militarised Line of Control have been reported, with thousands from villages seeking shelter due to fears of increased military activity. A civilian death in Sindh province was also attributed to drone debris from the downed crafts.
Responses and Global Reactions
World powers, including the US, Russia, and China, have expressed concern over the rising tensions. The US Consulate General in Lahore has advised staff to shelter in place as a precautionary measure.
Official Statements
Pakistan’s Lt Gen Ahmad Sharif stated, “Indian drones continue to be sent into Pakistan airspace … (India) will continue to pay dearly for this naked aggression.” With heavy fire exchanged along the border, both nations face immense pressure domestically to respond strongly to perceived aggressions.
In parallel, Indian Foreign Minister Subrahmanyam Jaishankar articulated that while India does not seek to escalate the situation, any military attacks would prompt a “firm response”.
As this situation evolves, it remains to be seen how both sides will manage their strategic responses to avert a larger conflict.