Navigating Italy’s Political Landscape: Meloni, Berlusconi, and the Challenges Ahead

As Italy gears up for the upcoming U.S. presidential election, Marina Berlusconi, daughter of the late prime minister Silvio Berlusconi, has shared her thoughts on both sides of the Atlantic. Although she expresses support for the right-wing government, she firmly states her intention not to enter the political arena herself.

Reflections on U.S. Politics

During a recent media event, she remarked on the difficulty of choosing between Republican Donald Trump and Democrat Kamala Harris. “If I had to vote today, I would be in trouble… I fear that the U.S. is destined for a long season of divisions and contrasts,” Berlusconi observed.

Forza Italia’s Role in Government

Since her father’s passing in 2023, Forza Italia continues to be a significant player in Italian politics, now part of Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni‘s coalition government. Berlusconi praised Meloni’s management of public finances and foreign policy, while also expressing her reservations regarding the contemporary political landscape influenced by Trump’s candidacy.

Defence Spending Under Scrutiny

Italy’s defence spending remains a contentious issue. Currently estimated at 1.49% of GDP for 2024, it falls short of the NATO commitment of 2%. This has raised eyebrows, especially under Trump’s administration, where such budget cuts might affect relations between Italy and a potential new Republican regime.

Public Opinion on Defence Funding

63% of Italians oppose increased military spending, according to a July 2023 poll.
Budgetary constraints stem from mounting public debt, projected to hit 135.8% of GDP this year.
The push for military reform is met with resistance from the public and political factions.

Italy’s Military Capability

Despite budgetary challenges, Italy maintains a strong military presence, contributing more personnel to NATO and U.N. missions than any other developed nation. The country operates significant military hardware, including a fleet of F35s, and is actively modernising its defence capabilities.

Industry Outlook

Italian defence firms like Leonardo and Fincantieri are poised for growth should Italy increase its defence spending post-2026. This collaboration and investment align with a larger call for a cohesive European defence strategy, as echoed by former Defence Minister Elisabetta Trenta.

Looking Forward

As both the U.S. and Italy navigate their political landscapes, the implications for international relations and defence strategies remain significant. Berlusconi’s insights, alongside Italy’s military ambitions, frame an ongoing dialogue about Europe’s role amid global uncertainties.