Relations between Thailand and Cambodia have taken a severe hit after a leaked phone call between Thai Prime Minister Paetongtarn Shinawatra and former Cambodian premier Hun Sen came to light. The leaked conversation, which was confirmed authentic by both leaders, has triggered a political crisis in Thailand.
Background of the Phone Call
On 15 June 2024, Paetongtarn, addressing Hun Sen as ‘uncle’, discussed the ongoing tensions between the two nations amid a border dispute, urging him not to heed ‘the opposite side’—a reference to a prominent Thai military general. She expressed a desire for peace despite internal pressures.
- Paetongtarn insisted that her remarks were part of a negotiation tactic.
- Hun Sen described the leak as originating from one of the many politicians he shared the recording with.
Political Fallout in Thailand
The leak has resulted in calls for Paetongtarn’s resignation, leading to the exit of the Bhumjaithai party, the largest coalition partner of her Pheu Thai party. This loss has significantly weakened her political standing, leaving her government precariously close to collapse.
With Bhumjaithai pulling out 69 MPs, the Pheu Thai coalition now barely holds a majority, igniting speculation about a potential snap election.
Growing Tensions Amid Nationalism
In the wake of the leaked conversation, Cambodian rhetoric has become increasingly aggressive, with Hun Sen accusing Thailand of military provocations. Thousands of Cambodians rallied in Phnom Penh, displaying chants of national pride and loyalty to Hun Sen and his successor, Hun Manet.
- Speculation is rife that Paetongtarn’s government could fall, leading to either elections or a shift to a new coalition.
- Army Chief General Pana Claewplodtook emphasised the need for unity in defending national sovereignty.
The Implications of Military Involvement
Thailand’s military has a storied influence in politics, with prior coups shaping the nation’s landscape. If ousted in a coup, Paetongtarn would join the ranks of her family members—Thaksin and Yingluck Shinawatra—who faced similar fates.
As the situation unfolds, the balance between national pride and political stability hangs in the balance, with both countries calling for calm while asserting sovereignty over disputed territories.