Syria Faces Uncertainty Following Ouster of Bashar al-Assad

In a dramatic turn of events, Syria has plunged into uncertainty following the ousting of President Bashar al-Assad, which many are calling a pivotal moment for the country and the wider region.

Political Transition and Calls for Stability

On 10 December 2024, newly appointed Transitional Prime Minister Mohammed al-Bashir declared it was time for “stability and calm” in Syria. This statement came just days after rebels seized control of the capital, Damascus, forcing Assad to flee to Russia.

Speaking to Al Jazeera, al-Bashir emphasised that the populace deserves a respite from years of conflict. The ousting of Assad, who ruled for over five decades, has been met with cautious optimism as many hope for a transition towards peace.

International Reactions

  • United States: US Secretary of State Antony Blinken called for an “inclusive political process” in Syria, urging the new government to uphold commitments to minority rights and humanitarian aid.
  • China: China’s Foreign Ministry echoed the sentiment, advocating for a rapid political solution to restore stability, which is crucial for the Syrian people.
  • European Union: EU officials raised alarms over the potential for sectarian violence and extremism, drawing parallels with past conflicts in Libya and Iraq.

Future Governance and Accountability

Abu Mohammed al-Jolani, the leader of the rebel group Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), has assured that the country won’t fall back into chaos. Instead, he aims to prioritise reconstruction and development. “People are exhausted from war… the country isn’t ready for another one,” he stated.

International observers are wary, however, arguing that past atrocities, including torture and war crimes committed during Assad’s regime, must not go unpunished. UN officials highlighted the importance of accountability, signalling that evidence gathered over the years could finally be used in trials against those responsible.

Humanitarian Crisis and Missing Persons

As the regime crumbled, families of the tens of thousands languishing in Assad’s detention centres are now desperate for information. Many have been missing for years, and the recent rebel advances have prompted calls for transparency from the new leadership, particularly regarding secret jails.

With IS militants still active in regions of Syria, the situation remains precarious. The UN and humanitarian organisations are pushing for immediate assistance to those affected by the ongoing conflict.

Regional Implications

The conflict’s ramifications can also be felt beyond Syria’s borders. Israeli military engagement has intensified, with reports of hundreds of strikes targeting military assets within Syrian territory. Tensions with Iran and Hezbollah remain high, as both have expressed intentions to influence Syria’s future direction.

Immediate stability in Syria is crucial not only for its citizens but for the broader geopolitical landscape of the Middle East. While the world watches with bated breath, how the new transitional government navigates these tumultuous waters will ultimately determine Syria’s fate.